Netherlands
Election trend
Parties

Netherlands: Poll by Ipsos from 27.03.2023

Polling data

BBB
17.9
+11.4
VVD
17.2
-1.3
PVV
7.8
-3.4
D66
7.7
-2.1
PvdA
7.4
+1.2
GL
7.0
+0.3
PvdD
5.1
-1.0
SP
4.9
-0.2
CDA
4.6
-2.5
JA21
4.3
-2.5
FvD
3.0
-0.5
Volt
2.9
+0.3
CU
2.5
-0.6
DENK
2.4
+0.4
SGP
2.3
+0.2
50+
0.9
+0.3
B1
0.8
+0.1
Sonst.
1.3
-0.1
Development since the last election on 22.11.2023
BBB
+13.3
VVD
+1.9
PVV
-15.7
D66
+1.4
PvdA
GL
PvdD
+2.8
SP
+1.8
CDA
+1.3
JA21
+3.6
FvD
+0.8
Volt
+1.2
CU
+0.5
DENK
±0.0
SGP
+0.2
50+
+0.4
B1
+0.4
Ipsos – 1005 respondents – 24.03.2023-27.03.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Netherlands - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Netherlands from Ipsos shows the following results: BBB 17.9%, VVD 17.2%, PVV 7.8%, D66 7.7%, PvdA 7.4%, GroenLinks 7%, PvdD 5.1%, SP 4.9%, CDA 4.6%, JA21 4.3%, FvD 3%, Volt 2.9%, CU 2.5%, Denk 2.4%, SGP 2.3%, 50Plus 0.9% and Bij1 0.8%. If an election were held in Netherlands this Sunday, BBB might gain the most in voter favorability with +13.3 growth since the last election. PVV, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-15.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mark Rutte is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from VVD, CDA, D66 and CU. With 32.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1005 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (24.03.2023 - 27.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

150
SP
8
DENK
3
B1
1
PvdD
8
PvdA
11
Volt
4
GL
11
BBB
28
D66
12
VVD
27
CDA
7
CU
3
SGP
3
50+
1
PVV
12
JA21
7
FvD
4
Majority requires 76 seats

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Netherlands was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 24.03.2023 and 27.03.2023 among 1005 eligible voters. After this election poll would get BBB 17.9%, VVD 17.2%, PVV 7.8%, D66 7.7%, PvdA 7.4%, GroenLinks 7%, PvdD 5.1%, SP 4.9%, CDA 4.6%, JA21 4.3%, FvD 3%, Volt 2.9%, CU 2.5%, Denk 2.4%, SGP 2.3%, 50Plus 0.9% and Bij1 0.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.