Netherlands
Election trend
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Netherlands: Poll by I&O Research from 14.11.2023

Polling data

VVD
17.5
+0.9
NSC
15.8
-2.8
PvdA/GL
15.0
-0.6
PVV
12.9
+1.6
BBB
5.2
-0.2
SP
5.0
+1.0
D66
4.8
-0.3
PvdD
4.0
+0.6
Volt
3.4
±0.0
CDA
2.9
+0.1
SGP
2.6
+0.1
DENK
2.6
±0.0
FvD
2.5
-0.7
CU
2.2
+0.2
JA21
1.2
+0.3
50+
0.8
+0.2
BVNL
0.8
+0.8
B1
0.3
-0.2
Sonst.
0.5
-1.0
Development since the last election on 22.11.2023
VVD
+2.2
NSC
+2.9
PvdA/GL
-0.8
PVV
-10.6
BBB
+0.6
SP
+1.9
D66
-1.5
PvdD
+1.7
Volt
+1.7
CDA
-0.4
SGP
+0.5
DENK
+0.2
FvD
+0.3
CU
+0.2
JA21
+0.5
50+
+0.3
BVNL
+0.3
B1
-0.1
I&O Research – 1811 respondents – 12.11.2023-14.11.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates PvdA/GL higher

In 55% of election polls, I&O Research rates PvdA/GL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Netherlands - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Netherlands from I&O Research shows the following results: VVD 17.5%, NSC 15.8%, PvdA/GL 15%, PVV 12.9%, BBB 5.2%, SP 5%, D66 4.8%, PvdD 4%, Volt 3.4%, CDA 2.9%, SGP 2.6%, Denk 2.6%, FvD 2.5%, CU 2.2%, JA21 1.2%, 50Plus 0.8%, BVNL 0.8% and Bij1 0.3%. If an election were held in Netherlands this Sunday, NSC might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. PVV, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dick Schoof is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from VVD, PVV, BBB and NSC. With 51.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by I&O Research. For this purpose, 1811 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (12.11.2023 - 14.11.2023).

Coalition possibilities

150
SP
7
PvdD
6
PvdA/GL
24
Volt
5
BBB
8
D66
7
DENK
4
VVD
27
NSC
25
CDA
4
SGP
4
CU
3
50+
1
PVV
20
FvD
3
JA21
1
BVNL
1
Majority requires 76 seats

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Netherlands was conducted by I&O Research. The survey took place between 12.11.2023 and 14.11.2023 among 1811 eligible voters. After this election poll would get VVD 17.5%, NSC 15.8%, PvdA/GL 15%, PVV 12.9%, BBB 5.2%, SP 5%, D66 4.8%, PvdD 4%, Volt 3.4%, CDA 2.9%, SGP 2.6%, Denk 2.6%, FvD 2.5%, CU 2.2%, JA21 1.2%, 50Plus 0.8%, BVNL 0.8% and Bij1 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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