Netherlands
Election trend
Parties
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Netherlands: Poll by I&O Research from 20.11.2023

Polling data

PvdA/GL
17.2
+2.2
VVD
17.1
-0.4
PVV
16.6
+3.7
NSC
13.7
-2.1
D66
5.3
+0.5
BBB
4.2
-1.0
PvdD
3.3
-0.7
FvD
3.0
+0.5
CDA
2.8
-0.1
SP
2.8
-2.2
CU
2.6
+0.4
Volt
2.5
-0.9
SGP
2.3
-0.3
DENK
2.2
-0.4
JA21
1.3
+0.1
BVNL
1.1
+0.3
B1
0.5
+0.2
50+
0.5
-0.3
Sonst.
1.0
+0.5
Development since the last election on 22.11.2023
PvdA/GL
+1.4
VVD
+1.8
PVV
-6.9
NSC
+0.8
D66
-1.0
BBB
-0.4
PvdD
+1.0
FvD
+0.8
CDA
-0.5
SP
-0.3
CU
+0.6
Volt
+0.8
SGP
+0.2
DENK
-0.2
JA21
+0.6
BVNL
+0.6
B1
+0.1
50+
±0.0
I&O Research – 2014 respondents – 17.11.2023-20.11.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates PvdA/GL higher

In 55% of election polls, I&O Research rates PvdA/GL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Netherlands - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Netherlands from I&O Research shows the following results: PvdA/GL 17.2%, VVD 17.1%, PVV 16.6%, NSC 13.7%, D66 5.3%, BBB 4.2%, PvdD 3.3%, FvD 3%, CDA 2.8%, SP 2.8%, CU 2.6%, Volt 2.5%, SGP 2.3%, Denk 2.2%, JA21 1.3%, BVNL 1.1%, Bij1 0.5% and 50Plus 0.5%. If an election were held in Netherlands this Sunday, VVD might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.8 growth since the last election. PVV, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dick Schoof is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from VVD, PVV, BBB and NSC. With 52.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by I&O Research. For this purpose, 2014 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (17.11.2023 - 20.11.2023).

Coalition possibilities

150
SP
4
PvdD
5
PvdA/GL
27
Volt
4
D66
8
BBB
6
DENK
3
VVD
27
NSC
22
CDA
4
CU
4
SGP
3
PVV
26
FvD
4
JA21
2
BVNL
1
Majority requires 76 seats

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Netherlands was conducted by I&O Research. The survey took place between 17.11.2023 and 20.11.2023 among 2014 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PvdA/GL 17.2%, VVD 17.1%, PVV 16.6%, NSC 13.7%, D66 5.3%, BBB 4.2%, PvdD 3.3%, FvD 3%, CDA 2.8%, SP 2.8%, CU 2.6%, Volt 2.5%, SGP 2.3%, Denk 2.2%, JA21 1.3%, BVNL 1.1%, Bij1 0.5% and 50Plus 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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