Netherlands
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
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Netherlands: Poll by Peil.nl from 20.01.2024

Polling data

PVV
32.7
+16.7
PvdA/GL
15.3
+15.3
NSC
11.3
+11.3
VVD
8.0
-12.7
D66
6.7
-4.6
BBB
6.0
+6.0
CDA
4.0
-8.0
SP
4.0
-2.7
CU
2.0
-2.0
DENK
2.0
+0.7
FvD
2.0
-2.0
PvdD
2.0
-2.0
SGP
2.0
±0.0
Volt
2.0
±0.0
JA21
0.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 22.11.2023
PVV
+9.2
PvdA/GL
-0.5
NSC
-1.6
VVD
-7.3
D66
+0.4
BBB
+1.4
CDA
+0.7
SP
+0.9
CU
±0.0
DENK
-0.4
FvD
-0.2
PvdD
-0.3
SGP
-0.1
Volt
+0.3
JA21
-0.7
Peil.nl – :sample_size respondent count unknown – 19.01.2024-20.01.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2027.

Respondent number unknown

No information on the number of respondents is available for this poll.

Institute often rates FvD higher

In 42% of election polls, Peil.nl rates FvD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates VVD lower

In 66% of election polls Peil.nl rates VVD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Netherlands - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Netherlands from Peil.nl shows the following results: PVV 32.7%, PvdA/GL 15.3%, NSC 11.3%, VVD 8%, D66 6.7%, BBB 6%, CDA 4%, SP 4%, CU 2%, Denk 2%, FvD 2%, PvdD 2%, SGP 2%, Volt 2% and JA21 0%. If an election were held in Netherlands this Sunday, PVV might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.2 growth since the last election. VVD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dick Schoof is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from VVD, PVV, BBB and NSC. With 58.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Peil.nl. For this purpose, 0 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (19.01.2024 - 20.01.2024).

Coalition possibilities

150
SP
6
PvdD
3
PvdA/GL
23
Volt
3
D66
10
BBB
9
DENK
3
VVD
12
NSC
17
CDA
6
CU
3
SGP
3
PVV
49
FvD
3
Majority requires 76 seats

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Netherlands was conducted by Peil.nl. The poll took place between 19.01.2024 and 20.01.2024. It is not known how many people were polled. After this election poll would get PVV 32.7%, PvdA/GL 15.3%, NSC 11.3%, VVD 8%, D66 6.7%, BBB 6%, CDA 4%, SP 4%, CU 2%, Denk 2%, FvD 2%, PvdD 2%, SGP 2%, Volt 2% and JA21 0%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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