Netherlands
Election trend
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Netherlands: Poll by Ipsos from 05.03.2024

Polling data

PVV
22.4
+22.4
PvdA/GL
16.0
+16.0
VVD
12.7
+12.7
D66
6.0
+6.0
CDA
5.6
+5.6
Volt
4.9
+4.9
NSC
4.7
+4.7
BBB
4.5
+4.5
PvdD
3.7
+3.7
SP
3.2
+3.2
SGP
2.6
+2.6
CU
2.4
+2.4
FvD
2.3
+2.3
Sonst.
9.0
-91.0
Development since the last election on 22.11.2023
PVV
-1.1
PvdA/GL
+0.2
VVD
-2.6
D66
-0.3
CDA
+2.3
Volt
+3.2
NSC
-8.2
BBB
-0.1
PvdD
+1.4
SP
+0.1
SGP
+0.5
CU
+0.4
FvD
+0.1
Ipsos – 1895 respondents – 23.02.2024-05.03.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Netherlands - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Netherlands from Ipsos shows the following results: PVV 22.4%, PvdA/GL 16%, VVD 12.7%, D66 6%, CDA 5.6%, Volt 4.9%, NSC 4.7%, BBB 4.5%, PvdD 3.7%, SP 3.2%, SGP 2.6%, CU 2.4% and FvD 2.3%. If an election were held in Netherlands this Sunday, Volt might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.2 growth since the last election. NSC, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dick Schoof is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from VVD, PVV, BBB and NSC. With 48.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1895 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 11 days (23.02.2024 - 05.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
SP
3
PvdD
3
PvdA/GL
17
Volt
6
D66
7
BBB
5
VVD
14
CDA
6
NSC
5
SGP
2
CU
2
PVV
24
FvD
2
Majority requires 49 seats

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 23.02.2024 and 05.03.2024 among 1895 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PVV 22.4%, PvdA/GL 16%, VVD 12.7%, D66 6%, CDA 5.6%, Volt 4.9%, NSC 4.7%, BBB 4.5%, PvdD 3.7%, SP 3.2%, SGP 2.6%, CU 2.4% and FvD 2.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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