countries.NL: Poll by Ipsos from 27.03.2024

countries.NL: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PVV
31.1
±0.0
GL/PvdA
15.6
-0.3
VVD
12.6
+0.2
NSC
7.0
±0.0
D66
6.6
-0.4
BBB
4.5
-0.9
CDA
4.1
-0.2
PvdD
3.1
+0.2
SP
2.8
+0.6
DENK
2.3
-0.8
FvD
2.3
+0.2
SGP
2.1
-0.3
CU
1.7
+0.2
Volt
1.7
+0.6
JA21
1.3
+0.5
Others
1.2
+0.4
Development since the last election on 22.11.2023
PVV
+7.6
GL/PvdA
-0.2
VVD
-2.7
NSC
-5.9
D66
+0.3
BBB
-0.1
CDA
+0.8
PvdD
+0.8
SP
-0.3
DENK
-0.1
FvD
+0.1
SGP
±0.0
CU
-0.3
Volt
±0.0
JA21
+0.6
Ipsos – 1016 respondents – 24.03.2024-27.03.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in countries.NL is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates VVD higher

In 35% of election polls, Ipsos rates VVD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

countries.NL - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Netherlands from Ipsos shows the following results: PVV 31.1%, GL/PvdA 15.6%, VVD 12.6%, NSC 7%, D66 6.6%, BBB 4.5%, CDA 4.1%, PvdD 3.1%, SP 2.8%, Denk 2.3%, FvD 2.3%, SGP 2.1%, CU 1.7%, Volt 1.7% and JA21 1.3%. If an election were held in countries.NL this Sunday, PVV might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.6 growth since the last election. NSC, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dick Schoof is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from VVD, PVV, BBB and NSC. With 58.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1016 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (24.03.2024 - 27.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SP
4
2.7%
PvdD
4
2.7%
GL/PvdA
24
16%
Volt
2
1.3%
D66
10
6.7%
BBB
7
4.7%
DENK
3
2%
VVD
20
13.3%
NSC
11
7.3%
CDA
6
4%
SGP
3
2%
CU
2
1.3%
PVV
49
32.7%
FvD
3
2%
JA21
2
1.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Netherlands was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 24.03.2024 and 27.03.2024 among 1016 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PVV 31.1%, GL/PvdA 15.6%, VVD 12.6%, NSC 7%, D66 6.6%, BBB 4.5%, CDA 4.1%, PvdD 3.1%, SP 2.8%, Denk 2.3%, FvD 2.3%, SGP 2.1%, CU 1.7%, Volt 1.7% and JA21 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
How to embed the election trend on your website:
  1. Copy code below
  2. Paste code on your website
  3. Done!
Copy code
Copied!