Netherlands
Election trend
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Netherlands: Poll by Ipsos from 12.05.2024

Polling data

PVV
30.0
-1.1
PvdA/GL
16.7
+1.1
VVD
11.8
-0.8
D66
6.4
-0.2
NSC
5.1
-1.9
CDA
4.9
+0.8
BBB
4.1
-0.4
PvdD
3.7
+0.6
SP
3.6
+0.8
Volt
3.1
+1.4
CU
2.6
+0.9
SGP
2.6
+0.5
FvD
2.5
+0.2
DENK
1.8
-0.5
JA21
0.8
-0.5
Sonst.
0.3
-0.9
Development since the last election on 22.11.2023
PVV
+6.5
PvdA/GL
+0.9
VVD
-3.5
D66
+0.1
NSC
-7.8
CDA
+1.6
BBB
-0.5
PvdD
+1.4
SP
+0.5
Volt
+1.4
CU
+0.6
SGP
+0.5
FvD
+0.3
DENK
-0.6
JA21
+0.1
Ipsos – 1261 respondents – 09.05.2024-12.05.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Netherlands - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Netherlands from Ipsos shows the following results: PVV 30%, PvdA/GL 16.7%, VVD 11.8%, D66 6.4%, NSC 5.1%, CDA 4.9%, BBB 4.1%, PvdD 3.7%, SP 3.6%, Volt 3.1%, CU 2.6%, SGP 2.6%, FvD 2.5%, Denk 1.8% and JA21 0.8%. If an election were held in Netherlands this Sunday, PVV might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.5 growth since the last election. NSC, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dick Schoof is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from VVD, PVV, BBB and NSC. With 51.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1261 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (09.05.2024 - 12.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

150
SP
5
PvdD
5
PvdA/GL
26
Volt
4
D66
10
BBB
6
DENK
2
VVD
18
NSC
8
CDA
7
CU
4
SGP
4
PVV
47
FvD
3
JA21
1
Majority requires 76 seats

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Netherlands was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 09.05.2024 and 12.05.2024 among 1261 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PVV 30%, PvdA/GL 16.7%, VVD 11.8%, D66 6.4%, NSC 5.1%, CDA 4.9%, BBB 4.1%, PvdD 3.7%, SP 3.6%, Volt 3.1%, CU 2.6%, SGP 2.6%, FvD 2.5%, Denk 1.8% and JA21 0.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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