Netherlands: Poll by Ipsos from 25.06.2024

Netherlands: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PVV
27.7
+0.4
GL/PvdA
17.3
-0.3
VVD
13.1
+1.1
D66
7.8
+0.4
NSC
7.7
+3.1
CDA
4.4
-1.9
BBB
3.8
-1.0
PvdD
3.2
-1.3
SP
2.5
-0.7
DENK
2.3
+0.4
FvD
2.3
+0.3
SGP
2.3
-0.3
Volt
1.9
-0.8
CU
1.8
-0.7
JA21
1.2
+0.6
Others
0.7
+0.7
Development since the last election on 22.11.2023
PVV
+4.2
GL/PvdA
+1.5
VVD
-2.2
D66
+1.5
NSC
-5.2
CDA
+1.1
BBB
-0.8
PvdD
+0.9
SP
-0.6
DENK
-0.1
FvD
+0.1
SGP
+0.2
Volt
+0.2
CU
-0.2
JA21
+0.5
Ipsos – 1017 respondents – 23.06.2024-25.06.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates VVD higher

In 35% of election polls, Ipsos rates VVD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Netherlands - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Netherlands from Ipsos shows the following results: PVV 27.7%, GL/PvdA 17.3%, VVD 13.1%, D66 7.8%, NSC 7.7%, CDA 4.4%, BBB 3.8%, PvdD 3.2%, SP 2.5%, Denk 2.3%, FvD 2.3%, SGP 2.3%, Volt 1.9%, CU 1.8% and JA21 1.2%. If an election were held in Netherlands this Sunday, PVV might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.2 growth since the last election. NSC, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dick Schoof is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from VVD, PVV, BBB and NSC. With 54.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1017 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (23.06.2024 - 25.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SP
3
2%
PvdD
5
3.3%
GL/PvdA
27
18%
Volt
3
2%
D66
12
8%
BBB
6
4%
DENK
3
2%
VVD
20
13.3%
NSC
12
8%
CDA
6
4%
SGP
3
2%
CU
2
1.3%
PVV
44
29.3%
FvD
3
2%
JA21
1
0.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Netherlands was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 23.06.2024 and 25.06.2024 among 1017 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PVV 27.7%, GL/PvdA 17.3%, VVD 13.1%, D66 7.8%, NSC 7.7%, CDA 4.4%, BBB 3.8%, PvdD 3.2%, SP 2.5%, Denk 2.3%, FvD 2.3%, SGP 2.3%, Volt 1.9%, CU 1.8% and JA21 1.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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