Current election polls and polling trends for North Macedonia

To make parties easier to compare, the symbols indicate a party’s political orientation. These categories provide a quick overview. More detailed information on political positions can be found on the party subpages.

Far left

Left

Centre-left

Centre

Transversal

Unknown

Centre-right

Right

Far right

Liberal

Environment & climate

Regional

Animal rights

Satirical

On the rise: L

+2.2 gain in the last 90 days

Trending down: VMRO — DPMNE

-2.7 loss in the last 90 days

Next Election:

The next election is expected to take place in .

Who is leading in the PolitPro election trend?

In the current PolitPro election trend for the Parliamentary election in North Macedonia, VMRO — DPMNE is leading with 40.5%. They are followed by SDSM with 15%, DUI with 13.9% and L with 9%. Other parties receive 21.6% of the vote.

When is the next Parliamentary election in North Macedonia?

The next Parliamentary election in North Macedonia is expected to take place in . Until then, current election polls serve as the primary barometer for the political climate in North Macedonia.

How does the PolitPro Election Trend work?

The PolitPro Election Trend aggregates results from all major polling institutes into a weighted average for the Parliamentary election in North Macedonia. Since traditional voting intention polls (“How would you vote if the election were held today?”) fluctuate based on methodology and sample size, our trend provides a more stable data foundation. It smooths out short-term statistical outliers and visualizes the true political momentum over time.

Why averages provide more insight than individual polls

In modern electoral research, using multiple data sources reduces the risk of random bias. Individual surveys are always subject to a margin of error, typically between 1.5% and 3%. By combining various institutes in our polling check for North Macedonia, we increase the validity of the data. We clarify whether a party's gain is a sustainable trend or merely within the margin of error of a single pollster.

Weighting and calculation of the trend value

The calculation of the PolitPro Election Trend follows a transparent mathematical model that accounts for various quality factors. Recent polls are given higher weighting in the average, while older data gradually loses influence. Furthermore, the historical accuracy of institutes in previous elections is factored in to correct for systematic biases. The result is a clean trend line that provides a reliable reflection of developments within the political system of North Macedonia.

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in North Macedonia

Government

Political system

Parliamentary republic

The parliament appoints the government, the president is mostly ceremonial.

Electoral democracy

Elections are free, but checks on government power and rule of law are limited.

How is the election held?

Proportional representation in six constituencies with closed lists.

Democracy score

North Macedonia reaches 44 out of 100 points in the PolitPro democracy score.

Coalition options

120

Majority from 61 seats

No electoral threshold

There is no electoral threshold in North Macedonia.

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 4 parties could enter parliament: VMRO — DPMNE with 62 MPs, SDSM with 23 MPs, DUI with 22 MPs and L with 13 MPs.

The electoral system in North Macedonia

The Assembly of North Macedonia (Sobranie) comprises 120 members elected for a four-year term. The country is divided into six electoral districts, each electing 20 representatives using a proportional representation system with closed lists. Seats are allocated within these districts according to the d'Hondt method. Additionally, the law provides for up to three seats for the diaspora, contingent on meeting specific voting quotas. A legal gender quota is also enforced, requiring at least 40% of candidates on every party list to belong to the underrepresented sex.

Electoral threshold and entry barriers

North Macedonia does not apply a formal nationwide electoral threshold. Instead, the effective threshold for entering parliament is determined by the size of the six electoral districts. Since each district allocates 20 seats, the natural threshold for winning a mandate is approximately 5% of the vote within that specific district. This structure allows smaller parties and those representing ethnic minorities to secure parliamentary representation more easily without needing to reach a high national percentage.

Government formation and coalition traditions

Government formation in North Macedonia is deeply influenced by the Ohrid Framework Agreement and the necessity for inter-ethnic consensus. It is a long-standing political tradition that the largest Macedonian party forms a coalition with the largest party representing the Albanian minority to ensure national stability. The President grants the mandate to form a government to the leader of the party or coalition that commands a majority. Negotiations are often complex, focusing on cabinet positions, EU integration efforts, and the advancement of minority rights.

Go to the coalition calculator

Who could govern with whom?

Important political parties in North Macedonia

Key players in parliamentary competition

This overview shows all parties that, based on current polling, have a realistic chance of entering parliament in North Macedonia or significantly shape the political debate. Classifying their political orientation is essential for understanding bloc formation and the mathematically possible majorities in the next parliament.

More parties

All political parties in North Macedonia at a glance

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in North Macedonia

Latest opinion polls

Latest polls from all institutes and historical opinion polls

Which institutes are most reliable?

Election accuracy and party bias

Polling institutes in North Macedonia

Election accuracy

Very accurate

Very inaccurate

What is the PolitPro Score for institutes?

The PolitPro Score for institutes measures the reliability of polling institutes based on their election accuracy and deviation from the election trend. Strong deviations from the trend lead to deductions, as they may indicate bias for or against certain parties. The maximum score is 100.

More institutes

All polling institutes in North Macedonia at a glance

Which institutes are most reliable?

Election accuracy and party bias

Election trend development

Latest elections

Parliamentary election in North Macedonia 2024

Historical elections in North Macedonia

Results, coalitions, and data

Government

Democracy in North Macedonia

Electoral democracy

Elections are free, but checks on government power and rule of law are limited.

Democracy score

North Macedonia reaches 44 out of 100 points in the PolitPro democracy score.

+10

Trend: Strong improvement

The democracy score has clearly improved over the past 10 years.

Democracy score: Rule of law

Assesses how well separation of powers, independent courts, and civil rights are protected in North Macedonia.

Democracy score: Elections

Assesses whether elections in North Macedonia are free, fair, and genuinely determine government.

Democracy score: Decision-making

Assesses whether political decisions in North Macedonia are based on arguments and public debate.

Democracy score: Equality

Assesses whether all citizens in North Macedonia can participate equally regardless of background.

Democracy score: Participation

Shows how strongly citizens in North Macedonia influence politics through parties, unions, or groups.

What is the PolitPro Democracy Score?

The PolitPro Democracy Score evaluates different aspects of democracy based on scientific data from the Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) project. The international research project is led by the University of Gothenburg (Sweden) and the University of Notre Dame (USA). More than 3,500 experts assess the democratic quality of their countries using standardized criteria. PolitPro combines and extends this data to present it in a clear and comparable way. The score ranges from 0 to 100 points.

Political system

Parliamentary republic

The parliament appoints the government, the president is mostly ceremonial.

How is the election held?

Proportional representation in six constituencies with closed lists.

After the election

Following the election, the Assembly must hold its constitutive session within 20 days to verify mandates and elect the Speaker of the House. The President then has 10 days to designate a Prime Minister. The nominee has 20 days to present their government program and cabinet list to the Assembly for approval. A government is officially elected when it receives an absolute majority of votes from all members of parliament. This process is strictly timed to ensure a swift transition of executive power.

Characteristics of the electorate

Voting rights are granted to all citizens of North Macedonia aged 18 and older. Voter turnout typically ranges between 50% and 65%. A significant feature of the system is the active participation of the extensive North Macedonian diaspora, who can cast their ballots at diplomatic and consular offices worldwide. The electorate is highly politically active and historically divided along ethnic lines, though issues such as economic reform, rule of law, and anti-corruption measures have increasingly become decisive factors in recent elections.

Member of NATO

Military defense alliance between Europe and North America.

Member of the OSCE

Organization for peace, security, and human rights in Europe.

Sources of data and information

PolitPro

PolitPro brings together scientific data and current poll results to make politics tangible for everyone. We use datasets from leading research projects and complement them with our own research, analyses, and algorithms. This allows us to make complex political contexts accessible and easy to understand. Supported by AI.

Found a mistake?

Political data changes every day. If you notice an error, feel free to send us an email. A short source reference helps us review the information.

Report an error

V-Dem – Varieties of Democracy

Research data from the University of Gothenburg focused on democracy. Independent political experts from around the world assess political systems using scientific criteria.

Coppedge, Michael, John Gerring, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Staffan I. Lindberg, Jan Teorell, David Altman, Fabio Angiolillo, Michael Bernhard, Agnes Cornell, M. Steven Fish, Linnea Fox, Lisa Gastaldi, Haakon Gjerløw, Adam Glynn, Ana Good God, Sandra Grahn, Allen Hicken, Katrin Kinzelbach, Joshua Krusell, Kyle L. Marquardt, Kelly McMann, Valeriya Mechkova, Juraj Medzihorsky, Natalia Natsika, Anja Neundorf, Pamela Paxton, Daniel Pemstein, Johannes von Römer, Brigitte Seim, Rachel Sigman, Svend-Erik Skaaning, Jeffrey Staton, Aksel Sundström, Marcus Tannenberg, Eitan Tzelgov, Yi-ting Wang, Felix Wiebrecht, Tore Wig, Steven Wilson and Daniel Ziblatt. 2025. "V-Dem 2025 Dataset v15" Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) Project.

V-Party – Parties of the World Dataset

A research project from the University of Gothenburg. International political scientists evaluate the core ideological positions of political parties worldwide using standardized criteria.

Staﬀan I. Lindberg, Nils D¨upont, Masaaki Higashijima, Yaman Berker Kavasoglu, Kyle L. Marquardt, Michael Bernhard, Holger D¨oring, Allen Hicken, Melis Laebens, Juraj Medzihorsky, Anja Neundorf, Ora John Reuter, Saskia Ruth–Lovell, Keith R. Weghorst, Nina Wiesehomeier, Joseph Wright, Nazifa Alizada, Paul Bederke, Lisa Gastaldi, Sandra Grahn, Garry Hindle, Nina Ilchenko, Johannes von Römer, Steven Wilson, Daniel Pemstein, Brigitte Seim. 2022. Varieties of Party Identity and Organization (V–Party) Dataset V2. Varieties of Democracy (V–Dem) Project.

ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

Long-running research data from the University of Bremen. It documents political parties and governments and enables systematic political comparison.

Döring, Holger and Philip Manow. 2024. Parliaments and governments database (ParlGov): Information on parties, elections and cabinets in established democracies.

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

Europe’s most important expert survey on party positions. More than 400 political scientists from different countries assess party positions based on scientific criteria.

Rovny, Jan, Ryan Bakker, Liesbet Hooghe, Seth Jolly, Gary Marks, Jonathan Polk, Marco Steenbergen, and Milada Vachudova. “25 Years of Political Party Positions in Europe: The Chapel Hill Expert Survey, 1999-2024,”