Official Final Results of the North Rhine-Westphalia Election

General election in North Rhine-Westphalia 2022

North Rhine-Westphalia Election Results: May 15, 2022

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the state election in North Rhine-Westphalia is 5%.

Voter Turnout

Voter turnout was 55.5%.

Current Election Trend: North Rhine-Westphalia
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
Historical Elections: North Rhine-Westphalia
Results, coalitions, and historical data

Seat Distribution and Mathematical Majorities

195
Majority requires 98 seats

The current government loses its majority

The incumbent governing parties secured 45.1% of the seats.

CDU + SPD
Centre
67.7%
CDU + Grüne
Centre
59.0%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
Left
54.9%
CDU + AfD + FDP
Centre-Right
51.3%
SPD + Grüne
Left
48.7%
CDU + FDP
Centre-Right
45.1%
CDU + AfD
Centre-Right
45.1%

Governments of the Current Legislative Period

Wüst II
2022
CDU
Grüne
Historical Government Cabinets: North Rhine-Westphalia
Cabinets and governing parties since 1945

Polling Accuracy: How Precise Were the Forecasts?

Comparison: Pre-Election Polls vs. Actual Election Results

1.48

Institut Wahlkreisprognose

The final poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose deviated by an average of 1.48 percentage points per party from the actual North Rhine-Westphalia election results.
  • CDU
    -2.7
  • SPD
    +1.8
  • Grüne
    -1.7
  • AfD
    +1.1
  • FDP
    +0.1
  • Linke
    ±
1.58

Forsa

The final poll by Forsa deviated by an average of 1.58 percentage points per party from the actual North Rhine-Westphalia election results.
  • CDU
    -3.7
  • SPD
    +1.3
  • Grüne
    -1.2
  • FDP
    +1.1
  • AfD
    +0.6
  • Linke
    ±
1.78

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen

The final poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen deviated by an average of 1.78 percentage points per party from the actual North Rhine-Westphalia election results.
  • CDU
    -3.7
  • SPD
    +2.3
  • Grüne
    -1.2
  • AfD
    +1.6
  • FDP
    +0.1
  • Linke
    ±
2.18

Civey

The final poll by Civey deviated by an average of 2.18 percentage points per party from the actual North Rhine-Westphalia election results.
  • CDU
    -3.7
  • SPD
    +2.3
  • Grüne
    -2.2
  • AfD
    +1.6
  • FDP
    +1.1
  • Linke
    ±
2.18

INSA

The final poll by INSA deviated by an average of 2.18 percentage points per party from the actual North Rhine-Westphalia election results.
  • CDU
    -3.7
  • SPD
    +1.3
  • Grüne
    -2.2
  • FDP
    +2.1
  • AfD
    +1.6
  • Linke
    ±
2.78

Infratest dimap

The final poll by Infratest dimap deviated by an average of 2.78 percentage points per party from the actual North Rhine-Westphalia election results.
  • CDU
    -5.7
  • SPD
    +1.3
  • Grüne
    -2.2
  • AfD
    +2.6
  • FDP
    +2.1
  • Linke
    ±
2.98

YouGov

The final poll by YouGov deviated by an average of 2.98 percentage points per party from the actual North Rhine-Westphalia election results.
  • CDU
    -4.7
  • SPD
    +1.3
  • Grüne
    -3.2
  • FDP
    +4.1
  • AfD
    +1.6
  • Linke
    ±

Party Results: Vote Shares and Gains/Losses

CDU

Christian Democratic Union
Christian Democratic
Pro-European
35.7
+2.7

SPD

Social Democratic Party of Germany
Social Democratic
Pro-European
26.7
-4.5

Grüne

Alliance 90 / The Greens
Green
Centre-Left
Pro-European
18.2
+11.8

FDP

Free Democratic Party
Liberal
Pro-European
5.9
-6.7

AfD

Alternative for Germany
Right-wing Populist
Eurosceptic
5.4
-2.0

Die Linke

The Left
Left-wing
2.1
-2.8

Die PARTEI

The PARTY
Satire
Left
Eurosceptic
1.1
+0.4

Tierschutzpartei

Animal Protection Party
Animal Welfare
Left
1.1
+0.4

dieBasis

Grassroots Democratic Party Germany
Transversal
Eurosceptic
0.8
+0.8

Freie Wähler

Free Voters
Conservative
0.7
+0.3

Volt

Volt Europa
Centre
0.6
+0.6

Sonstige Parteien

Other Parties
Unknown
8.1
+0.1

Piratenpartei

Pirate Party Germany
Centre-Left
Pro-European
0.3
-0.7

FAMILIE

Family Party of Germany
Centre-Right
0.2
+0.2

Team Todenhöfer

Team Todenhöfer – The Justice Party
Transversal
0.2
+0.2

Die Urbane

The Urban. A HipHop Party
Left
0.1
+0.1

LIEBE

European Party LOVE
Unknown
0.1
+0.1

Partei der Humanisten

Party of Humanists
Unknown
0.1
+0.1

Partei für Verjüngungsforschung

Party for Rejuvenation Research
Transversal
0.1
±0

ÖDP

Ecological Democratic Party
Green
Centre-Right
0.1
-0.1

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

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ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

A comprehensive research database from the University of Bremen, documenting parties, elections, and governments for comparative analysis.

Additional Sources

Döring, Holger and Philip Manow. 2024. Parliaments and governments database (ParlGov).

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

The leading expert survey on party positions in Europe. Over 400 political scientists document party stances based on rigorous scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Rovny, Jan, et al. “25 Years of Political Party Positions in Europe: The Chapel Hill Expert Survey, 1999-2024.”