North Rhine-Westphalia
Election trend
Parties

North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by INSA from 08.05.2017

Polling data

SPD
33.0
-4.0
CDU
30.0
+2.0
FDP
13.0
+3.0
AfD
7.0
-3.0
Grüne
7.0
+1.0
Linke
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
5.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
SPD
+6.3
CDU
-5.7
FDP
+7.1
AfD
+1.6
Grüne
-11.2
Linke
+2.9
INSA – 1139 respondents – 03.05.2017-08.05.2017
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 35% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

North Rhine-Westphalia - The latest poll for the State election in North Rhine-Westphalia from INSA shows the following results: SPD 33%, CDU 30%, FDP 13%, AfD 7%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7% and Die Linke 5%. If an election were held in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, FDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.1 growth since the last election. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Hendrik Wüst is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 39.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1139 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (03.05.2017 - 08.05.2017).

Coalition possibilities

181
Linke
10
SPD
63
Grüne
13
FDP
25
CDU
57
AfD
13
Majority requires 91 seats
SPD + CDU
120
SPD + FDP + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
101
CDU + FDP + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
95
CDU + FDP + AfD
95
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
86
CDU + FDP
82

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 03.05.2017 and 08.05.2017 among 1139 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 33%, CDU 30%, FDP 13%, AfD 7%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7% and Die Linke 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.