North Rhine-Westphalia
Election trend
Parties

North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by INSA from 04.04.2022

Polling data

SPD
30.0
+1.0
CDU
28.0
+1.0
Grüne
15.0
+1.0
FDP
10.0
-2.0
AfD
7.0
-1.0
Linke
4.0
±0.0
Sonst.
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
SPD
+3.3
CDU
-7.7
Grüne
-3.2
FDP
+4.1
AfD
+1.6
Linke
+1.9
INSA – 1000 respondents – 28.03.2022-04.04.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 35% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

North Rhine-Westphalia - The latest poll for the State election in North Rhine-Westphalia from INSA shows the following results: SPD 30%, CDU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15%, FDP 10%, AfD 7% and Die Linke 4%. If an election were held in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, FDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.1 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Hendrik Wüst is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 47.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (28.03.2022 - 04.04.2022).

Coalition possibilities

181
SPD
60
Grüne
30
FDP
20
CDU
57
AfD
14
Majority requires 91 seats
SPD + CDU
117
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
110
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
107
CDU + FDP + AfD
91
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
90
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
87

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 28.03.2022 and 04.04.2022 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 30%, CDU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15%, FDP 10%, AfD 7% and Die Linke 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.