North Rhine-Westphalia
Election trend
Parties

North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 09.04.2022

Polling data

SPD
33.0
+2.0
CDU
27.5
-3.0
Grüne
17.5
+2.0
FDP
7.5
-2.0
AfD
6.0
+0.5
Linke
3.0
+0.5
Sonst.
5.5
±0.0
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
SPD
+6.3
CDU
-8.2
Grüne
-0.7
FDP
+1.6
AfD
+0.6
Linke
+0.9
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1230 respondents – 08.04.2022-09.04.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

North Rhine-Westphalia - The latest poll for the State election in North Rhine-Westphalia from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: SPD 33%, CDU 27.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17.5%, FDP 7.5%, AfD 6% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.3 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Hendrik Wüst is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 49.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1230 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (08.04.2022 - 09.04.2022).

Coalition possibilities

181
SPD
65
Grüne
35
FDP
15
CDU
54
AfD
12
Majority requires 91 seats
SPD + CDU
119
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
104
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
100
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
89

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 08.04.2022 and 09.04.2022 among 1230 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 33%, CDU 27.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17.5%, FDP 7.5%, AfD 6% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.