North Rhine-Westphalia
Election trend
Parties

North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 05.05.2022

Polling data

CDU
30.0
-2.0
SPD
28.0
-3.0
Grüne
18.0
+11.5
FDP
7.0
-6.5
AfD
7.0
+0.5
Linke
3.0
-3.0
Sonst.
7.0
+2.5
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
CDU
-5.7
SPD
+1.3
Grüne
-0.2
FDP
+1.1
AfD
+1.6
Linke
+0.9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1026 respondents – 03.05.2022-05.05.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen higher
In 40% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

North Rhine-Westphalia - The latest poll for the State election in North Rhine-Westphalia from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: CDU 30%, SPD 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 18%, FDP 7%, AfD 7% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.6 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Hendrik Wüst is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 53.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1026 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (03.05.2022 - 05.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

181
SPD
57
Grüne
36
FDP
14
CDU
60
AfD
14
Majority requires 91 seats
CDU + SPD
117
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
96
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
93

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 03.05.2022 and 05.05.2022 among 1026 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 30%, SPD 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 18%, FDP 7%, AfD 7% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.