North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 12.05.2022

North Rhine-Westphalia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
CDU
32.0
+2.0
SPD
29.0
+1.0
Grüne
17.0
-1.0
AfD
7.0
±0.0
FDP
6.0
-1.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Others
6.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
CDU
-3.7
SPD
+2.3
Grüne
-1.2
AfD
+1.6
FDP
+0.1
Linke
+0.9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 2254 respondents – 09.05.2022-12.05.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Grüne higher

In 37% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Grüne higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

North Rhine-Westphalia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in North Rhine-Westphalia from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: CDU 32%, SPD 29%, Grüne 17%, AfD 7%, FDP 6% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.3 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Hendrik Wüst is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and CDU. With 53.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 2254 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (09.05.2022 - 12.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

181
Majority requires 91 seats
SPD
58
32%
Grüne
34
18.8%
FDP
12
6.6%
CDU
63
34.8%
AfD
14
7.7%
CDU + SPD
66.9%
CDU + Grüne
53.6%
SPD + Grüne
50.8%
CDU + AfD + FDP
49.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 09.05.2022 and 12.05.2022 among 2254 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 32%, SPD 29%, Grüne 17%, AfD 7%, FDP 6% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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