North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 13.05.2022

Polling data

CDU
33.0
+3.0
SPD
28.5
-1.0
Grüne
16.5
±0.0
AfD
6.5
-0.5
FDP
6.0
-3.0
Linke
3.0
+0.5
Sonst.
6.5
+1.0
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1652 respondents – 12.05.2022-13.05.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

North Rhine-Westphalia - The latest poll for the State election in North Rhine-Westphalia from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 33%, SPD 28.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16.5%, AfD 6.5%, FDP 6% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.8 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Hendrik Wüst is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 54.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1652 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (12.05.2022 - 13.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

181
SPD
57
Grüne
33
FDP
12
CDU
66
AfD
13
Majority requires 91 seats
CDU + SPD
123
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
102
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
99
CDU + AfD + FDP
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
90

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 12.05.2022 and 13.05.2022 among 1652 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 33%, SPD 28.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16.5%, AfD 6.5%, FDP 6% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.