North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by Civey from 12.05.2022

Polling data

CDU
32.0
-1.7
SPD
29.0
+4.6
Grüne
16.0
+6.4
FDP
7.0
-3.9
AfD
7.0
-2.7
Linke
3.0
-4.2
Others
6.0
+1.5
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
CDU
-3.7
SPD
+2.3
Grüne
-2.2
FDP
+1.1
AfD
+1.6
Linke
+0.9
Civey – 4001 respondents – 05.05.2022-12.05.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

North Rhine-Westphalia - The latest poll for the State election in North Rhine-Westphalia from Civey shows the following results: CDU 32%, SPD 29%, Grüne 16%, FDP 7%, AfD 7% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.3 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Hendrik Wüst is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and CDU. With 52.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Civey. For this purpose, 4001 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (05.05.2022 - 12.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

181
Majority requires 91 seats
SPD
58
31.9%
Grüne
32
17.6%
FDP
14
7.7%
CDU
63
35.2%
AfD
14
7.7%
CDU + SPD
66.9%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
57.5%
CDU + Grüne
52.5%
CDU + AfD + FDP
50.3%
SPD + Grüne
49.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by Civey. The survey took place between 05.05.2022 and 12.05.2022 among 4001 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 32%, SPD 29%, Grüne 16%, FDP 7%, AfD 7% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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