North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by Civey from 12.05.2022

Polling data

Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
Civey – 4001 respondents – 05.05.2022-12.05.2022

North Rhine-Westphalia - The latest poll for the State election in North Rhine-Westphalia from Civey shows the following results: CDU 32%, SPD 29%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16%, FDP 7%, AfD 7% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.3 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Hendrik Wüst is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 52.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Civey. For this purpose, 4001 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (05.05.2022 - 12.05.2022).

Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.

Coalition possibilities

SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 52.8% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by Civey. The survey took place between 05.05.2022 and 12.05.2022 among 4001 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 32%, SPD 29%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16%, FDP 7%, AfD 7% and Die Linke 3%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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