North Rhine-Westphalia
Election trend
Parties

North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 30.06.2022

Polling data

CDU
37.0
+4.0
SPD
27.5
-1.0
Grüne
15.5
-1.0
FDP
6.0
±0.0
AfD
6.0
-0.5
Linke
2.0
-1.0
Sonst.
6.0
-0.5
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
CDU
+1.3
SPD
+0.8
Grüne
-2.7
FDP
+0.1
AfD
+0.6
Linke
-0.1
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1040 respondents – 27.06.2022-30.06.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

North Rhine-Westphalia - The latest poll for the State election in North Rhine-Westphalia from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 37%, SPD 27.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15.5%, FDP 6%, AfD 6% and Die Linke 2%. If an election were held in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.3 growth since the last election. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Hendrik Wüst is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 57.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1040 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (27.06.2022 - 30.06.2022).

Coalition possibilities

181
SPD
54
Grüne
30
FDP
12
CDU
73
AfD
12
Majority requires 91 seats
CDU + SPD
127
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
103
CDU + AfD + FDP
97
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
96
CDU + FDP
85
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
84

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 27.06.2022 and 30.06.2022 among 1040 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 37%, SPD 27.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15.5%, FDP 6%, AfD 6% and Die Linke 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.