North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by Mentefactum from 21.10.2019

Polling data

CDU
31.0
+3.0
Grüne
21.0
+2.0
SPD
20.0
+1.0
FDP
10.0
-1.0
AfD
10.0
-1.0
Linke
5.0
-3.0
Sonst.
4.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
Mentefactum – 1003 respondents – 14.10.2019-21.10.2019
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

North Rhine-Westphalia - The latest poll for the State election in North Rhine-Westphalia from Mentefactum shows the following results: CDU 31%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 21%, SPD 20%, FDP 10%, AfD 10% and Die Linke 5%. If an election were held in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.6 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Hendrik Wüst is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 54.2% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Mentefactum. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (14.10.2019 - 21.10.2019).

Coalition possibilities

CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
54.2
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
53.1
CDU + SPD
53.1
CDU + AfD + FDP
53.1
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + Die Linke
47.9

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by Mentefactum. The survey took place between 14.10.2019 and 21.10.2019 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 31%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 21%, SPD 20%, FDP 10%, AfD 10% and Die Linke 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.