North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by Forsa from 26.09.2022

Polling data

CDU
36.0
±0.0
SPD
21.0
-4.0
Grüne
20.0
-1.0
AfD
9.0
+4.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Linke
3.0
+1.0
Others
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
Forsa – 1511 respondents – 21.09.2022-26.09.2022
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 40% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.

Coalition possibilities

CDU + SPD
62.7
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
61.6
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
50.6
CDU + FDP
45.1
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
45.1


Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 61.6% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 21.09.2022 and 26.09.2022 among 1511 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 36%, SPD 21%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 20%, AfD 9%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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