North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by Infratest dimap from 20.10.2022

Polling data

CDU
32.0
+2.0
SPD
23.0
-5.0
Grüne
22.0
+6.0
AfD
9.0
+1.0
FDP
5.0
-3.0
Others
9.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
Infratest dimap – 1185 respondents – 17.10.2022-20.10.2022
No abnormalities
Compared to the general election trend of all institutes, there are no significant anomalies regarding individual parties.
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.

Coalition possibilities

CDU + SPD
60.5
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
59.4
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
55.0
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
49.5


Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 59.4% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 17.10.2022 and 20.10.2022 among 1185 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 32%, SPD 23%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 22%, AfD 9% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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