North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by Wahlkreisprognose from 11.11.2022

Polling data

CDU
31.0
-6.0
SPD
24.5
-3.0
Grüne
19.0
+3.5
AfD
12.5
+6.5
FDP
5.5
-0.5
Linke
1.5
-0.5
Others
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
Wahlkreisprognose – 1400 respondents – 07.11.2022-11.11.2022
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 40% of election polls, Wahlkreisprognose rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.

Coalition possibilities

CDU + SPD
60.0
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
54.0
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
52.9
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
47.0


Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 54.0% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 07.11.2022 and 11.11.2022 among 1400 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 31%, SPD 24.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19%, AfD 12.5%, FDP 5.5% and Die Linke 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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