North Rhine-Westphalia
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Elections

North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by Forsa from 31.01.2023

Polling data

CDU
36.0
±0.0
SPD
22.0
+1.0
Grüne
18.0
-2.0
AfD
8.0
-1.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Others
8.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
CDU
+0.3
SPD
-4.7
Grüne
-0.2
AfD
+2.6
FDP
-0.9
Linke
+0.9
Forsa – 1006 respondents – 20.01.2023-31.01.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 38% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results

North Rhine-Westphalia - The latest poll for the State election in North Rhine-Westphalia from Forsa shows the following results: CDU 36%, SPD 22%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 18%, AfD 8%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.6 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Hendrik Wüst is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 60.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 1006 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 11 days (20.01.2023 - 31.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

CDU + SPD
65.1
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
60.6
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
50.5
CDU + FDP
46.0

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 20.01.2023 and 31.01.2023 among 1006 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 36%, SPD 22%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 18%, AfD 8%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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