North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by Forsa from 28.03.2023

Polling data

CDU
38.0
+2.0
SPD
20.0
-2.0
Grüne
17.0
-1.0
AfD
8.0
±0.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Linke
4.0
+1.0
Sonst.
8.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
Forsa – 1005 respondents – 27.03.2023-28.03.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 36% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

North Rhine-Westphalia - The latest poll for the State election in North Rhine-Westphalia from Forsa shows the following results: CDU 38%, SPD 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, AfD 8%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 4%. If an election were held in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.6 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Hendrik Wüst is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 62.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 1005 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (27.03.2023 - 28.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

181
SPD
41
Grüne
35
FDP
10
CDU
78
AfD
17
Majority requires 91 seats
CDU + SPD
119
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
113
CDU + AfD
95
CDU + FDP
88
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 27.03.2023 and 28.03.2023 among 1005 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 38%, SPD 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, AfD 8%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.