North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by INSA from 02.05.2023

Polling data

CDU
36.0
±0.0
SPD
22.0
±0.0
Grüne
17.0
-4.0
AfD
9.0
+4.0
FDP
7.0
±0.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Others
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
CDU
+0.3
SPD
-4.7
Grüne
-1.2
AfD
+3.6
FDP
+1.1
Linke
+0.9
INSA – 1000 respondents – 24.04.2023-02.05.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 36% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

North Rhine-Westphalia - The latest poll for the State election in North Rhine-Westphalia from INSA shows the following results: CDU 36%, SPD 22%, Grüne 17%, AfD 9%, FDP 7% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.6 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Hendrik Wüst is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and CDU. With 58.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (24.04.2023 - 02.05.2023).

Coalition possibilities

181
Majority requires 91 seats
SPD
44
24.2%
Grüne
34
18.7%
FDP
14
7.7%
CDU
71
39.6%
AfD
18
9.9%
CDU + SPD
63.5%
CDU + Grüne
58.0%
CDU + AfD + FDP
56.9%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
50.8%
CDU + AfD
49.2%
CDU + FDP
47.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 24.04.2023 and 02.05.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 36%, SPD 22%, Grüne 17%, AfD 9%, FDP 7% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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