North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by Infratest dimap from 25.04.2024

Polling data

CDU
38.0
+3.0
SPD
19.0
+1.0
Grüne
17.0
-1.0
AfD
11.0
-3.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
BSW
3.0
+3.0
Others
7.0
-3.0
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
CDU
+2.3
SPD
-7.7
Grüne
-1.2
AfD
+5.6
FDP
-0.9
BSW
New
Infratest dimap – 1669 respondents – 22.04.2024-25.04.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

North Rhine-Westphalia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in North Rhine-Westphalia from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CDU 38%, SPD 19%, Grüne 17%, AfD 11%, FDP 5% and BSW 3%. If an election were held in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.6 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Hendrik Wüst is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and CDU. With 61.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1669 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (22.04.2024 - 25.04.2024).

Coalition possibilities

181
Majority requires 91 seats
SPD
38
21%
Grüne
34
18.8%
FDP
10
5.5%
CDU
77
42.5%
AfD
22
12.2%
CDU + SPD
63.5%
CDU + Grüne
61.3%
CDU + AfD
54.7%
CDU + FDP
48.1%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
45.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 22.04.2024 and 25.04.2024 among 1669 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 38%, SPD 19%, Grüne 17%, AfD 11%, FDP 5% and BSW 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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