Current election polls and polling data from InFact

Latest voting intention survey by InFact for Norway

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Norway conducted by InFact, the parties received the following results: Fremskrittspartiet 27.1%, Arbeiderpartiet 22.3%, Høyre 16.9%, Rødt 7.4%, Senterpartiet 5.9%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9%, Kristelig Folkeparti 4.3%, De Grønne 3.7% and Venstre 3.7%. The voting intention survey was conducted during the period 04.11.2025. The sample size is unknown.
Unbekannt
04.11.2025
InFact
Development since the last election on 08.09.2025
FrP
+3.2
Ap
-5.9
H
+2.3
R
+2.1
Sp
+0.3
SV
-0.6
KrF
+0.1
MDG
-1.0
V
±0.0
FrP
27.1
+1.8
Ap
22.3
-6.5
H
16.9
+3.0
R
7.4
+1.8
Sp
5.9
+1.1
SV
4.9
-0.6
KrF
4.3
-0.3
MDG
3.7
-1.8
V
3.7
+0.9
Others
3.8
+0.6

Seats in parliament

169
Majority requires 85 seats
R
14
8.3%
SV
9
5.3%
Ap
43
25.4%
Sp
11
6.5%
H
32
18.9%
KrF
8
4.7%
FrP
52
30.8%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Senterpartiet
56.2%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti
54.4%
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre + Senterpartiet
50.9%
Fremskrittspartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti
50.9%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre
49.7%
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti
49.1%
79

PolitPro Score

InFact achieves a score of 79/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
Ap
27
50
23
FrP
10
43
47
H
47
50
3
KrF
3
90
7
MDG
3
93
3
R
0
93
7
SV
7
90
3
Sp
3
90
7
V
7
90
3

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.1

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in InFact pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.1 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.11
 Parliamentary Election in Norway 2025 2/6

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.
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