Latest voting intention survey by Ipsos for Norway
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Norway conducted by Ipsos, the parties received the following results: Høyre 29.1%, Arbeiderpartiet 19.9%, Fremskrittspartiet 11.8%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 9.6%, Rødt 6.3%, Senterpartiet 6.2%, Venstre 4.6%, De Grønne 4.1% and Kristelig Folkeparti 3.4%. The voting intention survey was conducted during the period 18.12.2022. The sample size is unknown. The survey was commissioned by Dagbladet.
Unbekannt
18.12.2022
Ipsos
Dagbladet
Seats in parliament
169
Majority requires 85 seats
SV
18
10.7%
R
12
7.1%
Ap
37
21.9%
V
8
4.7%
MDG
7
4.1%
Sp
11
6.5%
H
54
32%
FrP
22
13%
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Senterpartiet
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Venstre
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Senterpartiet + De Grønne
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Venstre
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.8
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ipsos pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.8 percentage points.
Average deviation of pre-election polls from the last election results
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.79
|
Parliamentary Election in Norwegen 2021 | 6/6 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
We compare pre-election polls from the institutes with the actual election results. This involves calculating the average deviation of party values and deriving an overall average. All parties with an election result of 3% or higher are included in the calculation.