Latest voting intention survey by Ipsos for Norway
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Norway conducted by Ipsos, the parties received the following results: Høyre 29.1%, Arbeiderpartiet 19.9%, Fremskrittspartiet 11.8%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 9.6%, Rødt 6.3%, Senterpartiet 6.2%, Venstre 4.6%, De Grønne 4.1% and Kristelig Folkeparti 3.4%. The voting intention survey was conducted during the period 18.12.2022. The sample size is unknown. The survey was commissioned by Dagbladet.
Unbekannt
18.12.2022
Ipsos
Dagbladet
H
29.1
-0.2
Ap
19.9
+1.8
FrP
11.8
-2.1
SV
9.6
-0.5
R
6.3
-0.1
Sp
6.2
-0.7
V
4.6
+0.8
MDG
4.1
-0.8
KrF
3.4
-0.3
Others
5.0
+2.1
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
169
Majority requires 85 seats
SV
18
10.7%
R
12
7.1%
Ap
37
21.9%
V
8
4.7%
MDG
7
4.1%
Sp
11
6.5%
H
54
32%
FrP
22
13%
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Senterpartiet
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Venstre
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Senterpartiet + De Grønne
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Venstre
74
PolitPro Score
Ipsos achieves a score of 74/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.8
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ipsos pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.8 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.79
|
Parliamentary Election in Norway 2021 | 6/6 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.