Latest voting intention survey by Ipsos MMI for Norway
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Norway conducted by Ipsos MMI, the parties received the following results: Senterpartiet 22.3%, Arbeiderpartiet 21.1%, Høyre 18.9%, Fremskrittspartiet 12.9%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.5%, De Grønne 3.9%, Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8%, Rødt 3.7% and Venstre 3.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 16.12.2020 - 16.12.2020. The survey was commissioned by Dagbladet.
1000 participants
14.12.2020 - 16.12.2020
Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
Sp
22.3
+8.4
Ap
21.1
-3.7
H
18.9
-5.4
FrP
12.9
+1.2
SV
7.5
+0.4
MDG
3.9
-1.9
KrF
3.8
+0.3
R
3.7
-0.7
V
3.5
+0.4
Others
2.4
+1.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
169
Majority requires 85 seats
SV
15
8.9%
Ap
44
26%
Sp
46
27.2%
H
38
22.5%
FrP
26
15.4%
Senterpartiet + Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet
Senterpartiet + Arbeiderpartiet
Senterpartiet + Fremskrittspartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Senterpartiet + Høyre
87
PolitPro Score
Ipsos MMI achieves a score of 87/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
0.7
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ipsos MMI pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.7 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.66
|
Parliamentary Election in Norwegen 2017 | 1/5 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.