Latest voting intention survey by Kantar for Norway
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Norway conducted by Kantar, the parties received the following results: Høyre 27%, Arbeiderpartiet 20.6%, Fremskrittspartiet 12.6%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 8.7%, Venstre 6.5%, Senterpartiet 6.1%, Rødt 4.9%, INP 4.3%, Kristelig Folkeparti 4.1% and De Grønne 3.8%. The voting intention survey was conducted during the period 02.10.2023. The sample size is unknown.
Unbekannt
02.10.2023
Kantar
H
27.0
-4.5
Ap
20.6
+2.8
FrP
12.6
+0.2
SV
8.7
-0.3
V
6.5
+1.3
Sp
6.1
-1.4
R
4.9
+1.1
INP
4.3
+4.3
KrF
4.1
+1.6
MDG
3.8
+0.6
Others
1.4
-5.7
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
169
Majority requires 85 seats
SV
16
9.5%
R
8
4.7%
Ap
37
21.9%
V
12
7.1%
Sp
10
5.9%
H
49
29%
KrF
7
4.1%
FrP
23
13.6%
INP
7
4.1%
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Venstre + Senterpartiet
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Venstre + Kristelig Folkeparti
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Venstre + INP
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Senterpartiet + Kristelig Folkeparti
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Senterpartiet + INP
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Kristelig Folkeparti + INP
Høyre + Venstre + Senterpartiet + Kristelig Folkeparti + INP
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Venstre
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Venstre + Senterpartiet + Rødt
84
PolitPro Score
Kantar achieves a score of 84/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
0.9
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Kantar pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.9 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.89
|
Parliamentary Election in Norwegen 2021 | 3/6 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.