Latest voting intention survey by Norfakta for countries.NO
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in countries.NO conducted by Norfakta, the parties received the following results: Arbeiderpartiet 26.5%, Fremskrittspartiet 24.3%, Høyre 19.7%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.1%, Rødt 5%, Senterpartiet 4.8%, Venstre 4.1%, Kristelig Folkeparti 2.6% and De Grønne 2.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1001 people during the period 05.03.2025 - 05.03.2025. The survey was commissioned by Klassekampen and Nationen.
1001 participants
04.03.2025 - 05.03.2025
Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
Seats in parliament
169
Majority requires 85 seats
SV
14
8.3%
R
9
5.3%
Ap
49
29%
V
7
4.1%
Sp
8
4.7%
H
37
21.9%
FrP
45
26.6%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Senterpartiet
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Venstre
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Venstre
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre
Fremskrittspartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Venstre
86
PolitPro Score
Norfakta achieves a score of 86/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.0
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Norfakta pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.0 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.04
|
Parliamentary Election in Norwegen 2021 | 4/6 |
|
0.94
|
Parliamentary Election in Norwegen 2017 | 3/5 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.