Current election polls and polling data from Norstat

Latest voting intention survey by Norstat for Norway

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Norway conducted by Norstat, the parties received the following results: Arbeiderpartiet 28.7%, Fremskrittspartiet 25.3%, Høyre 16.2%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.4%, Senterpartiet 6%, Rødt 5.3%, Venstre 3.1%, De Grønne 2.7% and Kristelig Folkeparti 2.1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 989 people during the period 08.02.2025 - 08.02.2025.
989 participants
04.02.2025 - 08.02.2025
Norstat
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
Ap
+2.4
FrP
+13.7
H
-4.2
SV
-0.2
Sp
-7.5
R
+0.6
V
-1.5
MDG
-1.2
KrF
-1.7
Ap
28.7
+8.5
FrP
25.3
+1.6
H
16.2
-3.6
SV
7.4
-1.3
Sp
6.0
+1.1
R
5.3
-0.6
V
3.1
-2.7
MDG
2.7
-0.6
KrF
2.1
-1.2
Others
3.2
-1.2

Seats in parliament

169
Majority requires 85 seats
SV
14
8.3%
R
10
5.9%
Ap
55
32.5%
Sp
11
6.5%
H
30
17.8%
FrP
49
29%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Senterpartiet
53.3%
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Senterpartiet + Rødt
53.3%
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre
50.3%
Fremskrittspartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Senterpartiet + Rødt
49.7%
89

PolitPro Score

Norstat achieves a score of 89/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
Ap
18
66
16
FrP
7
76
18
H
17
64
19
KrF
1
97
2
MDG
2
95
3
R
5
89
5
SV
8
88
5
Sp
17
71
12
V
5
93
2

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

0.9

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Norstat pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.9 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
0.76
 Parliamentary Election in Norwegen 2021 2/6
0.94
 Parliamentary Election in Norwegen 2017 4/5

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.
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