Current election polls and polling data from Verian

Latest voting intention survey by Verian for Norway

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Norway conducted by Verian, the parties received the following results: Arbeiderpartiet 30%, Fremskrittspartiet 19%, Høyre 18.1%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.4%, Senterpartiet 5.8%, Rødt 5.4%, Kristelig Folkeparti 4.6%, Venstre 4.2% and De Grønne 2.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 990 people during the period 02.05.2025 - 02.05.2025. The survey was commissioned by TV2.
990 participants
28.03.2025 - 02.05.2025
Verian
TV2
Ap
30.0
+0.6
FrP
19.0
±0.0
H
18.1
-1.4
SV
7.4
+1.0
Sp
5.8
-0.7
R
5.4
-0.7
KrF
4.6
+0.8
V
4.2
+0.1
MDG
2.5
±0.0
Others
3.0
+0.3

Seats in parliament

169
Majority requires 85 seats
SV
13
7.7%
R
9
5.3%
Ap
54
32%
V
7
4.1%
Sp
10
5.9%
H
33
19.5%
KrF
8
4.7%
FrP
35
20.7%
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre
51.5%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Senterpartiet + Kristelig Folkeparti
50.9%
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Senterpartiet + Rødt
50.9%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Senterpartiet + Venstre
50.3%
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre
49.7%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre
49.1%
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Venstre
49.1%

66

PolitPro Score

Verian achieves a score of 66/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
Ap
19
31
50
FrP
56
44
0
H
0
63
38
KrF
0
94
6
MDG
0
100
0
R
6
88
6
SV
6
88
6
Sp
0
88
13
V
6
75
19

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.