Opinion poll results

FrP
Ap
H
R
SP
SV
MDG
KrF
31.9
21.3
15.0
6.0
5.6
5.0
4.7
4.0
+4.8
-1.0
-1.9
-1.4
+5.6
+0.1
+1.0
-0.3
V
3.0
-0.7
Other
3.5
-6.2

Political orientation of parties

What do the symbols mean?
To make parties easier to compare, the symbols indicate a party’s political orientation. These categories provide a quick overview. More detailed information on political positions can be found on the party subpages.
Far left
Left
Centre-left
Centre
Transversal
Unknown
Centre-right
Right
Far right
Liberal
Environment & climate
Regional
Animal rights
Satirical

01/06/2026

1018 respondents

Next Election: 2029

[polls.trend.election.year.body]

Government would likely lose its majority

Based on the poll by InFact, the governing parties reach 43.7% of the seats.

InFact at a glance

Coalition options

Electoral threshold

4% threshold for nationwide compensatory seats.

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 8 parties could enter parliament: Fremskrittspartiet with 58 MPs, Arbeiderpartiet with 39 MPs, Høyre with 28 MPs, Rødt with 10 MPs, SP with 10 MPs, Sosialistisk Venstreparti with 9 MPs, De Grønne with 8 MPs and Kristelig Folkeparti with 7 MPs.

The electoral system in Norway

The Norwegian Parliament, known as the Storting, consists of 169 members elected every four years. The electoral system is based on proportional representation held across 19 voting districts (corresponding to the traditional counties). Out of the 169 seats, 150 are district mandates allocated directly based on local results. The remaining 19 are leveling seats (utjevningsmandater)—one for each district—designed to ensure national proportionality between a party's total vote share and its number of seats. A unique constitutional feature in Norway is that the Storting cannot be dissolved; snap elections are not permitted.

Electoral threshold and entry barriers

There is no fixed percentage threshold to win district mandates in Norway; these are determined by a party's performance within each specific county. However, to qualify for the 19 national leveling seats, a party must clear a nationwide electoral threshold of 4%. This threshold is a critical factor in Norwegian politics, as crossing or falling below the 4% mark often determines which political bloc (Center-Left or Center-Right) secures a governing majority in the Storting.

Government formation and coalition traditions

Norway operates under "negative parliamentarism," meaning a government does not need to win a formal vote of confidence to take office. It simply needs to ensure that a majority in the Storting does not actively vote against it. This principle often leads to the formation of minority governments, which are very common in Norway. Such administrations rely on formal cooperation agreements with support parties to pass budgets and key legislation, fostering a political culture rooted in consensus and cross-party negotiation.
Fremskrittspartiet + Rødt + SP + Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Centre-right
51.5%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre
Right
50.9%
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre + SP + De Grønne
Centre
50.3%
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre + SP + Kristelig Folkeparti
Centre
49.7%
Fremskrittspartiet + Rødt + SP
Centre-right
46.2%
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre + SP
Centre
45.6%
Fremskrittspartiet + Rødt + Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Centre-right
45.6%
Fremskrittspartiet + SP + Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Centre-right
45.6%

Important political parties in Norway

Sources of data and information

PolitPro

PolitPro brings together scientific data and current poll results to make politics tangible for everyone. We use datasets from leading research projects and complement them with our own research, analyses, and algorithms. This allows us to make complex political contexts accessible and easy to understand. Supported by AI.

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Political data changes every day. If you notice an error, feel free to send us an email. A short source reference helps us review the information.