The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. InFact: latest poll for Norway's Parliamentary election, fieldwork concluded 4 August 2026.
Changes since the last election on 8 September 2025
Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 27.2% of the parliamentary seats.
A recent voting intention poll for Norway by InFact shows Fremskrittspartiet leading with 32%, followed by Arbeiderpartiet with 24.5%, Høyre with 13.4%, Rødt with 7.8%, Senterpartiet with 5%, Kristelig Folkeparti with 4.5%, De Grønne with 4.3%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti with 3.4% and Venstre with 2.7%. Other parties achieve 2.4% of the votes.
To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.
1 election comparisons
Last on 4 August 2026
In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.
Select parties to test coalitions.
Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 4%.
Election polls are not predictions, but snapshots with statistical fluctuations. To obtain a realistic picture, we daily simulate 100,000 election outcomes based on the PolitPro Election Trend using the 'Monte Carlo method'. In doing so, we include typical voter migration and political trends. Our algorithm tests various scenarios – from small shifts within camps to political surprises – to determine the actual chances of success for parties and coalitions.
This poll indicates 7 parties would clear the electoral threshold, securing seats in Norway's Parliament: Fremskrittspartiet with 60 seats, Arbeiderpartiet with 46 seats, Høyre with 25 seats, Rødt with 14 seats, Senterpartiet with 9 seats, Kristelig Folkeparti with 8 seats and De Grønne with 7 seats.
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PolitPro combines scientific data and current poll values to make politics tangible for everyone. We use datasets from leading research projects and supplement them with our own research, analyses, and algorithms. This way, we make complex political contexts understandable and accessible to all. Supported by AI.
