Norstat
N/A
These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.
N/A
1000 respondents
The next General Election in Norway is expected in 2029.
Based on the Norstat projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 29.6% of the parliamentary seats.
According to the latest national poll in Norway by Norstat, Arbeiderpartiet leads with 26.8%. They are followed by Fremskrittspartiet: 25.2%, Høyre: 16%, Rødt: 7%, Senterpartiet: 6.8%, Kristelig Folkeparti: 4.7%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti: 4.1%, De Grønne: 3.7% and Venstre: 2.7%. Other parties secure 3% of the votes.
Norstat achieved a PolitPro Score of 88 out of 100.
On average, Norstat's figures deviate by 1.0 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.
In 24% of polls, Norstat rated Arbeiderpartiet lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
The electoral threshold for Norway's election is 4%.
According to Norstat, 7 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Norwegian parliament: Arbeiderpartiet with 50 representatives, Fremskrittspartiet with 48 representatives, Høyre with 30 representatives, Rødt with 14 representatives, Senterpartiet with 12 representatives, Kristelig Folkeparti with 8 representatives and Sosialistisk Venstreparti with 7 representatives.
The Norwegian Parliament, the Storting, comprises 169 representatives elected every four years. Norway employs a system of proportional representation across 19 electoral districts, corresponding to its traditional counties (fylker). Of the 169 seats, 150 are directly allocated as district mandates within these constituencies. The remaining 19 seats are compensatory (or leveling) mandates (utjevningsmandater), one for each district, designed to ensure nationwide proportionality between vote share and seat distribution. A unique feature is that the Storting is elected for a full four-year term; the Norwegian Constitution explicitly prohibits early elections.
Norway does not impose a fixed percentage threshold for winning district mandates; success here hinges on results within individual electoral districts. However, to qualify for the distribution of the 19 compensatory seats, a party must achieve a nationwide threshold of 4%. This hurdle holds immense significance in Norwegian politics, as crossing or failing to meet the 4% mark frequently determines which political bloc (center-left or center-right) can form a majority in the Storting.
Norway operates under a system known as 'negative parliamentarism'. This means a government does not require a formal vote of confidence from the Storting upon taking office; it merely needs to avoid an active majority voting against it. This system strongly favors the formation of minority governments, which are highly prevalent in Norway. These governments rely on firm agreements with supporting parties in Parliament to pass budgets and crucial legislation. Norway's political culture is deeply rooted in consensus-building and cross-party cooperation.