Norway
Election trend
Parties

Norway: Poll by Ipsos MMI from 19.08.2020

Polling data

Ap
24.8
-0.2
H
24.3
-0.9
Sp
13.9
+0.6
FrP
11.7
+0.7
SV
7.1
-1.1
MDG
5.8
-0.1
R
4.4
+1.4
KrF
3.5
+0.3
V
3.1
±0.0
Sonst.
1.4
-0.7
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
Ap
-1.5
H
+3.9
Sp
+0.4
FrP
+0.1
SV
-0.5
MDG
+1.9
R
-0.3
KrF
-0.3
V
-1.5
Ipsos MMI – 1000 respondents – 17.08.2020-19.08.2020
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Norway is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Arbeiderpartiet higher
In 32% of election polls, Ipsos MMI rates Arbeiderpartiet higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Høyre lower
In 32% of election polls Ipsos MMI rates Høyre lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Norway - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Norway from Ipsos MMI shows the following results: Arbeiderpartiet 24.8%, Høyre 24.3%, Senterpartiet 13.9%, Fremskrittspartiet 11.7%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.1%, De Grønne 5.8%, Rødt 4.4%, Kristelig Folkeparti 3.5% and Venstre 3.1%. If an election were held in Norway this Sunday, Høyre might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.9 growth since the last election. Arbeiderpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jonas Gahr Støre is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Arbeiderpartiet and Senterpartiet. With 42.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos MMI. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (17.08.2020 - 19.08.2020).

Coalition possibilities

169
SV
13
R
8
Ap
46
MDG
10
Sp
26
H
45
FrP
21
Majority requires 85 seats
Høyre + Senterpartiet + Fremskrittspartiet
92
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre
91
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + De Grønne + Rødt
90
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti
85

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Norway was conducted by Ipsos MMI. The survey took place between 17.08.2020 and 19.08.2020 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Arbeiderpartiet 24.8%, Høyre 24.3%, Senterpartiet 13.9%, Fremskrittspartiet 11.7%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.1%, De Grønne 5.8%, Rødt 4.4%, Kristelig Folkeparti 3.5% and Venstre 3.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.