Norway
Election trend
Parties

Norway: Poll by Ipsos MMI from 16.12.2020

Polling data

Sp
22.3
+8.4
Ap
21.1
-3.7
H
18.9
-5.4
FrP
12.9
+1.2
SV
7.5
+0.4
MDG
3.9
-1.9
KrF
3.8
+0.3
R
3.7
-0.7
V
3.5
+0.4
Sonst.
2.4
+1.0
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
Sp
+8.8
Ap
-5.2
H
-1.5
FrP
+1.3
SV
-0.1
MDG
±0.0
KrF
±0.0
R
-1.0
V
-1.1
Ipsos MMI – 1000 respondents – 14.12.2020-16.12.2020
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Norway is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Arbeiderpartiet higher
In 32% of election polls, Ipsos MMI rates Arbeiderpartiet higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Høyre lower
In 32% of election polls Ipsos MMI rates Høyre lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Norway - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Norway from Ipsos MMI shows the following results: Senterpartiet 22.3%, Arbeiderpartiet 21.1%, Høyre 18.9%, Fremskrittspartiet 12.9%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.5%, De Grønne 3.9%, Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8%, Rødt 3.7% and Venstre 3.5%. If an election were held in Norway this Sunday, Senterpartiet might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.8 growth since the last election. Arbeiderpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jonas Gahr Støre is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Arbeiderpartiet and Senterpartiet. With 52.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos MMI. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (14.12.2020 - 16.12.2020).

Coalition possibilities

169
SV
15
Ap
44
Sp
46
H
38
FrP
26
Majority requires 85 seats
Senterpartiet + Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet
110
Senterpartiet + Arbeiderpartiet
90
Senterpartiet + Fremskrittspartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti
87
Senterpartiet + Høyre
84

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Norway was conducted by Ipsos MMI. The survey took place between 14.12.2020 and 16.12.2020 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Senterpartiet 22.3%, Arbeiderpartiet 21.1%, Høyre 18.9%, Fremskrittspartiet 12.9%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.5%, De Grønne 3.9%, Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8%, Rødt 3.7% and Venstre 3.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.