Norway
Election trend
Parties

Norway: Poll by Norstat from 08.09.2021

Polling data

Ap
24.7
+0.1
H
20.4
+1.6
FrP
12.0
+0.1
Sp
11.9
+0.3
SV
8.9
-0.1
V
4.9
-0.9
MDG
4.9
±0.0
R
4.9
+0.3
KrF
4.2
+0.3
Sonst.
3.2
-1.7
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
Ap
-1.6
H
±0.0
FrP
+0.4
Sp
-1.6
SV
+1.3
V
+0.3
MDG
+1.0
R
+0.2
KrF
+0.4
Norstat – 11556 respondents – 31.08.2021-08.09.2021
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Norway is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Norway - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Norway from Norstat shows the following results: Arbeiderpartiet 24.7%, Høyre 20.4%, Fremskrittspartiet 12%, Senterpartiet 11.9%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 8.9%, Venstre 4.9%, De Grønne 4.9%, Rødt 4.9% and Kristelig Folkeparti 4.2%. If an election were held in Norway this Sunday, Sosialistisk Venstreparti might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.3 growth since the last election. Arbeiderpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jonas Gahr Støre is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Arbeiderpartiet and Senterpartiet. With 37.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Norstat. For this purpose, 11556 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (31.08.2021 - 08.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

169
SV
16
R
8
Ap
44
V
8
MDG
8
Sp
21
H
36
KrF
7
FrP
21
Majority requires 85 seats
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre + Senterpartiet
101
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Rødt + De Grønne + Venstre
89
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + De Grønne + Venstre + Kristelig Folkeparti
88
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Venstre
89
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + De Grønne
89
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt
89
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre + De Grønne
88
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre + Venstre
88
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti
87
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Senterpartiet + Venstre
86
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Senterpartiet + Kristelig Folkeparti
85
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + De Grønne + Venstre
84

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Norway was conducted by Norstat. The survey took place between 31.08.2021 and 08.09.2021 among 11556 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Arbeiderpartiet 24.7%, Høyre 20.4%, Fremskrittspartiet 12%, Senterpartiet 11.9%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 8.9%, Venstre 4.9%, De Grønne 4.9%, Rødt 4.9% and Kristelig Folkeparti 4.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.