Norway
Election trend
Parties

Norway: Poll by Opinion from 08.08.2022

Polling data

H
29.1
+1.1
Ap
19.3
-0.4
FrP
14.8
+0.7
SV
8.4
-0.9
Sp
6.0
-3.2
R
5.1
-0.3
V
5.0
+0.8
KrF
3.2
+0.4
MDG
3.1
+0.2
Sonst.
6.0
+1.6
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
H
+8.7
Ap
-7.0
FrP
+3.2
SV
+0.8
Sp
-7.5
R
+0.4
V
+0.4
KrF
-0.6
MDG
-0.8
Opinion – 971 respondents – 02.08.2022-08.08.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Norway is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Arbeiderpartiet lower
In 33% of election polls Opinion rates Arbeiderpartiet lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Høyre higher
In 43% of election polls, Opinion rates Høyre higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Norway - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Norway from Opinion shows the following results: Høyre 29.1%, Arbeiderpartiet 19.3%, Fremskrittspartiet 14.8%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 8.4%, Senterpartiet 6%, Rødt 5.1%, Venstre 5%, Kristelig Folkeparti 3.2% and De Grønne 3.1%. If an election were held in Norway this Sunday, Høyre might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.7 growth since the last election. Senterpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jonas Gahr Støre is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Arbeiderpartiet and Senterpartiet. With 28.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Opinion. For this purpose, 971 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (02.08.2022 - 08.08.2022).

Coalition possibilities

169
SV
16
R
9
Ap
38
V
9
Sp
11
H
57
FrP
29
Majority requires 85 seats
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet
95
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet
86
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Senterpartiet + Rødt + Venstre
83

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Norway was conducted by Opinion. The survey took place between 02.08.2022 and 08.08.2022 among 971 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Høyre 29.1%, Arbeiderpartiet 19.3%, Fremskrittspartiet 14.8%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 8.4%, Senterpartiet 6%, Rødt 5.1%, Venstre 5%, Kristelig Folkeparti 3.2% and De Grønne 3.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.