Norway
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Elections

Norway: Poll by Opinion from 02.10.2023

Polling data

H
25.6
-4.7
Ap
20.2
+2.2
FrP
12.3
-1.9
SV
9.1
-0.3
R
6.6
+1.1
Sp
6.0
+0.3
V
6.0
+1.4
INP
4.8
+4.8
MDG
4.1
+0.5
KrF
3.3
-0.5
Sonst.
2.0
+0.0
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
H
+5.2
Ap
-6.1
FrP
+0.7
SV
+1.5
R
+1.9
Sp
-7.5
V
+1.4
INP
MDG
+0.2
KrF
-0.5
Opinion – 1000 respondents – 26.09.2023-02.10.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Norway is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Norway - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Norway from Opinion shows the following results: Høyre 25.6%, Arbeiderpartiet 20.2%, Fremskrittspartiet 12.3%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 9.1%, Rødt 6.6%, Senterpartiet 6%, Venstre 6%, INP 4.8%, De Grønne 4.1% and Kristelig Folkeparti 3.3%. If an election were held in Norway this Sunday, Høyre might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.2 growth since the last election. Senterpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jonas Gahr Støre is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Arbeiderpartiet and Senterpartiet. With 27.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Opinion. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (26.09.2023 - 02.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet
54.6
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet + Venstre
54.6
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet + De Grønne
52.6
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Senterpartiet + Venstre
52.6
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Senterpartiet + INP
51.4
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Venstre + INP
51.4
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Venstre
50.5

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in website.no was conducted by Opinion. The survey took place between 26.09.2023 and 02.10.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Høyre 25.6%, Arbeiderpartiet 20.2%, Fremskrittspartiet 12.3%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 9.1%, Rødt 6.6%, Senterpartiet 6%, Venstre 6%, INP 4.8%, De Grønne 4.1% and Kristelig Folkeparti 3.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.