Norway
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Norway: Poll by Norstat from 09.03.2024

Polling data

H
27.0
+1.9
Ap
18.2
-0.4
FrP
15.2
-1.2
SV
10.1
-0.5
Sp
6.7
+0.3
R
6.2
±0.0
V
6.1
+1.2
KrF
4.0
+0.4
MDG
3.5
-0.5
Sonst.
3.0
-1.2
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
H
+6.6
Ap
-8.1
FrP
+3.6
SV
+2.5
Sp
-6.8
R
+1.5
V
+1.5
KrF
+0.2
MDG
-0.4
Norstat – 997 respondents – 05.03.2024-09.03.2024

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Norway is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Norway - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Norway from Norstat shows the following results: Høyre 27%, Arbeiderpartiet 18.2%, Fremskrittspartiet 15.2%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 10.1%, Senterpartiet 6.7%, Rødt 6.2%, Venstre 6.1%, Kristelig Folkeparti 4% and De Grønne 3.5%. If an election were held in Norway this Sunday, Høyre might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.6 growth since the last election. Arbeiderpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jonas Gahr Støre is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Arbeiderpartiet and Senterpartiet. With 26.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Norstat. For this purpose, 997 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (05.03.2024 - 09.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

169
SV
19
R
11
Ap
33
V
10
Sp
12
H
49
KrF
7
FrP
28
Majority requires 85 seats
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet
94
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet + Venstre
92
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet + Kristelig Folkeparti
89
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Senterpartiet
89
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Venstre
87
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Senterpartiet + Rødt + Venstre
85
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Kristelig Folkeparti
84

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Norway was conducted by Norstat. The survey took place between 05.03.2024 and 09.03.2024 among 997 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Høyre 27%, Arbeiderpartiet 18.2%, Fremskrittspartiet 15.2%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 10.1%, Senterpartiet 6.7%, Rødt 6.2%, Venstre 6.1%, Kristelig Folkeparti 4% and De Grønne 3.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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