Norway: Poll by Verian from 31.05.2024

Polling data

H
25.5
+0.6
Ap
18.6
-2.7
FrP
15.9
-0.6
SV
11.5
+1.3
R
8.9
+3.9
Sp
5.4
+0.2
V
4.8
-2.0
KrF
3.7
-0.1
MDG
2.7
-0.4
INP
0.8
-1.5
Others
2.2
+1.3
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
H
+5.1
Ap
-7.7
FrP
+4.3
SV
+3.9
R
+4.2
Sp
-8.1
V
+0.2
KrF
-0.1
MDG
-1.2
INP
New
Verian – 998 respondents – 27.05.2024-31.05.2024

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Norway is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Norway - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Norway from Verian shows the following results: Høyre 25.5%, Arbeiderpartiet 18.6%, Fremskrittspartiet 15.9%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 11.5%, Rødt 8.9%, Senterpartiet 5.4%, Venstre 4.8%, Kristelig Folkeparti 3.7%, De Grønne 2.7% and INP 0.8%. If an election were held in Norway this Sunday, Høyre might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.1 growth since the last election. Senterpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jonas Gahr Støre is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Arbeiderpartiet and Senterpartiet. With 26.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Verian. For this purpose, 998 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (27.05.2024 - 31.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

169
Majority requires 85 seats
SV
22
12.7%
R
16
9.8%
Ap
35
20.5%
V
8
5.3%
Sp
10
6%
H
48
28.1%
FrP
30
17.5%
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet
55.0%
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet + Venstre
53.8%
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Venstre
53.8%
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Senterpartiet
52.1%
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Venstre
50.9%
Fremskrittspartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Venstre
50.9%
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet
49.1%
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Senterpartiet
49.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Norway was conducted by Verian. The survey took place between 27.05.2024 and 31.05.2024 among 998 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Høyre 25.5%, Arbeiderpartiet 18.6%, Fremskrittspartiet 15.9%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 11.5%, Rødt 8.9%, Senterpartiet 5.4%, Venstre 4.8%, Kristelig Folkeparti 3.7%, De Grønne 2.7% and INP 0.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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