Norway: Poll by InFact from 04.06.2024

Polling data

H
25.4
+1.9
Ap
18.9
-1.1
FrP
17.8
-1.0
SV
8.8
-0.1
R
6.0
+0.9
V
5.8
+1.4
Sp
5.7
-0.4
KrF
3.9
-0.5
MDG
3.0
-1.4
INP
2.5
-0.1
Others
2.2
+0.4
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
H
+5.0
Ap
-7.4
FrP
+6.2
SV
+1.2
R
+1.3
V
+1.2
Sp
-7.8
KrF
+0.1
MDG
-0.9
INP
New
InFact – 1096 respondents – 04.06.2024-04.06.2024

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Norway is expected to take place in 2025.

Institute often rates Fremskrittspartiet higher

In 40% of election polls, InFact rates Fremskrittspartiet higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Høyre lower

In 45% of election polls InFact rates Høyre lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Norway - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Norway from InFact shows the following results: Høyre 25.4%, Arbeiderpartiet 18.9%, Fremskrittspartiet 17.8%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 8.8%, Rødt 6%, Venstre 5.8%, Senterpartiet 5.7%, Kristelig Folkeparti 3.9%, De Grønne 3% and INP 2.5%. If an election were held in Norway this Sunday, Fremskrittspartiet might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.2 growth since the last election. Senterpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jonas Gahr Støre is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Arbeiderpartiet and Senterpartiet. With 27.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by InFact. For this purpose, 1096 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (04.06.2024 - 04.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

169
Majority requires 85 seats
SV
17
10.1%
R
11
6.5%
Ap
37
21.9%
V
11
6.5%
Sp
10
5.9%
H
49
29%
FrP
34
20.1%
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Venstre
55.6%
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Senterpartiet
55.0%
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet
50.9%
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Venstre + Senterpartiet
50.9%
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet
49.1%
Fremskrittspartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Venstre + Senterpartiet
49.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Norway was conducted by InFact. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 04.06.2024 1096. After this election poll would get Høyre 25.4%, Arbeiderpartiet 18.9%, Fremskrittspartiet 17.8%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 8.8%, Rødt 6%, Venstre 5.8%, Senterpartiet 5.7%, Kristelig Folkeparti 3.9%, De Grønne 3% and INP 2.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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