Norway
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Norway: Poll by Respons Analyse from 09.09.2024

Polling data

H
23.6
-0.9
Ap
21.9
-0.1
FrP
19.8
+2.3
SV
10.6
+0.6
R
5.1
-0.6
Sp
5.0
-0.4
V
5.0
-0.3
KrF
2.9
-0.4
MDG
2.6
+0.3
Sonst.
3.5
-0.5
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
H
+3.2
Ap
-4.4
FrP
+8.2
SV
+3.0
R
+0.4
Sp
-8.5
V
+0.4
KrF
-0.9
MDG
-1.3
Respons Analyse – 1000 respondents – 04.09.2024-09.09.2024

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Norway is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Norway - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Norway from Respons Analyse shows the following results: Høyre 23.6%, Arbeiderpartiet 21.9%, Fremskrittspartiet 19.8%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 10.6%, Rødt 5.11%, Senterpartiet 5%, Venstre 5%, Kristelig Folkeparti 2.9% and De Grønne 2.6%. If an election were held in Norway this Sunday, Fremskrittspartiet might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.2 growth since the last election. Senterpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jonas Gahr Støre is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Arbeiderpartiet and Senterpartiet. With 29.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Respons Analyse. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (04.09.2024 - 09.09.2024).

Coalition possibilities

169
SV
20
R
9
Ap
41
V
9
Sp
9
H
44
FrP
37
Majority requires 85 seats
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Senterpartiet
90
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Venstre
90
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Venstre
88
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet
85
Fremskrittspartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Venstre
84

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Norway was conducted by Respons Analyse. The survey took place between 04.09.2024 and 09.09.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Høyre 23.6%, Arbeiderpartiet 21.9%, Fremskrittspartiet 19.8%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 10.6%, Rødt 5.11%, Senterpartiet 5%, Venstre 5%, Kristelig Folkeparti 2.9% and De Grønne 2.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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