Norway
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Norway: Poll by Norstat from 21.09.2024

Polling data

H
25.5
+1.0
Ap
20.2
+0.2
FrP
19.5
+1.5
SV
8.4
+0.5
Sp
5.1
-1.3
R
5.0
-1.1
V
4.8
-1.0
MDG
4.0
+0.1
KrF
2.5
-1.1
Sonst.
5.0
+1.2
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
H
+5.1
Ap
-6.1
FrP
+7.9
SV
+0.8
Sp
-8.4
R
+0.3
V
+0.2
MDG
+0.1
KrF
-1.3
Norstat – 993 respondents – 17.09.2024-21.09.2024

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Norway is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Norway - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Norway from Norstat shows the following results: Høyre 25.5%, Arbeiderpartiet 20.2%, Fremskrittspartiet 19.5%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 8.4%, Senterpartiet 5.1%, Rødt 5%, Venstre 4.8%, De Grønne 4% and Kristelig Folkeparti 2.5%. If an election were held in Norway this Sunday, Fremskrittspartiet might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.9 growth since the last election. Senterpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jonas Gahr Støre is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Arbeiderpartiet and Senterpartiet. With 27.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Norstat. For this purpose, 993 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (17.09.2024 - 21.09.2024).

Coalition possibilities

169
SV
16
R
9
Ap
37
V
8
MDG
7
Sp
9
H
47
FrP
36
Majority requires 85 seats
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet
93
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet + Venstre
92
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Senterpartiet
92
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + Venstre
91
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet + De Grønne
91
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet
84
Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet
83

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Norway was conducted by Norstat. The survey took place between 17.09.2024 and 21.09.2024 among 993 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Høyre 25.5%, Arbeiderpartiet 20.2%, Fremskrittspartiet 19.5%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 8.4%, Senterpartiet 5.1%, Rødt 5%, Venstre 4.8%, De Grønne 4% and Kristelig Folkeparti 2.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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