Norway: Poll by Norstat from 16.11.2024

Polling data

FrP
25.3
+3.3
H
21.0
-1.7
Ap
17.5
-1.8
SV
9.3
+0.3
Sp
5.4
+0.5
R
5.3
-0.7
V
4.4
-1.6
MDG
3.5
±0.0
KrF
2.9
+0.5
Others
5.4
+1.2
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
FrP
+13.7
H
+0.6
Ap
-8.8
SV
+1.7
Sp
-8.1
R
+0.6
V
-0.2
MDG
-0.4
KrF
-0.9
Norstat – 1000 respondents – 12.11.2024-16.11.2024

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Norway is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Norway - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Norway from Norstat shows the following results: Fremskrittspartiet 25.3%, Høyre 21%, Arbeiderpartiet 17.5%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 9.3%, Senterpartiet 5.4%, Rødt 5.3%, Venstre 4.4%, De Grønne 3.5% and Kristelig Folkeparti 2.9%. If an election were held in Norway this Sunday, Fremskrittspartiet might gain the most in voter favorability with +13.7 growth since the last election. Arbeiderpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jonas Gahr Støre is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Arbeiderpartiet and Senterpartiet. With 26.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Norstat. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (12.11.2024 - 16.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

169
Majority requires 85 seats
SV
17
10.1%
R
10
5.9%
Ap
34
20.1%
V
8
4.7%
Sp
10
5.9%
H
41
24.3%
FrP
49
29%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre
53.3%
Fremskrittspartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Senterpartiet
50.9%
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet
50.3%
Fremskrittspartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre
49.7%
Fremskrittspartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Venstre
49.7%
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet + Venstre
49.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Norway was conducted by Norstat. The survey took place between 12.11.2024 and 16.11.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fremskrittspartiet 25.3%, Høyre 21%, Arbeiderpartiet 17.5%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 9.3%, Senterpartiet 5.4%, Rødt 5.3%, Venstre 4.4%, De Grønne 3.5% and Kristelig Folkeparti 2.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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