Norway: Poll by Verian from 10.01.2025

Norway: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
FrP
24.3
+0.2
H
23.8
+0.8
Ap
21.0
+4.5
SV
6.9
-3.0
Sp
5.6
-0.5
R
5.4
-0.1
KrF
3.9
+0.1
MDG
3.6
+1.2
V
3.4
-2.7
Others
2.1
-0.5
Development since the last election on 08.09.2025
FrP
+0.4
H
+9.2
Ap
-7.2
SV
+1.4
Sp
±0.0
R
+0.1
KrF
-0.3
MDG
-1.1
V
-0.3
Verian – 994 respondents – 06.01.2025-10.01.2025

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Norway is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Arbeiderpartiet higher

In 47% of election polls, Verian rates Arbeiderpartiet higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Fremskrittspartiet lower

In 33% of election polls Verian rates Fremskrittspartiet lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Norway - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Norway from Verian shows the following results: Fremskrittspartiet 24.3%, Høyre 23.8%, Arbeiderpartiet 21%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 6.9%, Senterpartiet 5.6%, Rødt 5.4%, Kristelig Folkeparti 3.9%, De Grønne 3.6% and Venstre 3.4%. If an election were held in Norway this Sunday, Høyre might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.2 growth since the last election. Arbeiderpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jonas Gahr Støre is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Arbeiderpartiet. With 24.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Verian. For this purpose, 994 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (06.01.2025 - 10.01.2025).

Coalition possibilities

169
Majority requires 85 seats
SV
13
7.7%
R
10
5.9%
Ap
41
24.3%
Sp
10
5.9%
H
47
27.8%
FrP
48
28.4%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre
56.2%
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet
52.1%
Fremskrittspartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Senterpartiet
47.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Norway was conducted by Verian. The survey took place between 06.01.2025 and 10.01.2025 among 994 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fremskrittspartiet 24.3%, Høyre 23.8%, Arbeiderpartiet 21%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 6.9%, Senterpartiet 5.6%, Rødt 5.4%, Kristelig Folkeparti 3.9%, De Grønne 3.6% and Venstre 3.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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