Norway: Poll by Verian from 30.06.2025

Norway: Polling data

Ap
30.9
-0.7
FrP
21.5
+2.4
H
14.0
-3.5
SV
7.8
+2.8
Sp
6.0
-0.3
R
5.1
-1.5
V
4.8
+2.1
MDG
3.3
-0.5
KrF
2.6
-1.3
Others
4.0
+0.5
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
Ap
+4.6
FrP
+9.9
H
-6.4
SV
+0.2
Sp
-7.5
R
+0.4
V
+0.2
MDG
-0.6
KrF
-1.2
Verian – 987 respondents – 24.06.2025-30.06.2025

Next election: 08.09.2025

The next general election in Norway will be held in 53.

Institute often rates Arbeiderpartiet higher

In 56% of election polls, Verian rates Arbeiderpartiet higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Fremskrittspartiet lower

In 50% of election polls Verian rates Fremskrittspartiet lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Høyre higher

In 33% of election polls, Verian rates Høyre higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Norway - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Norway from Verian shows the following results: Arbeiderpartiet 30.9%, Fremskrittspartiet 21.5%, Høyre 14%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.8%, Senterpartiet 6%, Rødt 5.1%, Venstre 4.8%, De Grønne 3.3% and Kristelig Folkeparti 2.6%. If an election were held in Norway this Sunday, Fremskrittspartiet might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.9 growth since the last election. Senterpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jonas Gahr Støre is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Arbeiderpartiet. With 34.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Verian. For this purpose, 987 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (24.06.2025 - 30.06.2025).

Coalition possibilities

169
Majority requires 85 seats
SV
15
8.9%
R
9
5.3%
Ap
58
34.3%
V
8
4.7%
Sp
11
6.5%
H
27
16%
FrP
41
24.3%
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Senterpartiet + Rødt
55.0%
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre
54.4%
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt + Venstre
53.3%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Senterpartiet + Venstre
51.5%
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Rødt + Venstre
50.9%
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre
50.3%
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Senterpartiet
49.7%
Fremskrittspartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Senterpartiet + Rødt + Venstre
49.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Norway was conducted by Verian. The survey took place between 24.06.2025 and 30.06.2025 among 987 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Arbeiderpartiet 30.9%, Fremskrittspartiet 21.5%, Høyre 14%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.8%, Senterpartiet 6%, Rødt 5.1%, Venstre 4.8%, De Grønne 3.3% and Kristelig Folkeparti 2.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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