Current election polls by Estymator

Latest polls from Estymator

Accuracy in elections

1.6
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Estymator pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.6 percentage points.
5.0
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Estymator's average ranking is 5.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4

Rating of parties

Institute often rates KO lower
In 40% of election polls Estymator rates KO lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica higher
In 57% of election polls, Estymator rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PiS higher
In 74% of election polls, Estymator rates PiS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 lower
In 68% of election polls Estymator rates PL2050 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSL higher
In 60% of election polls, Estymator rates PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZP higher
In 41% of election polls, Estymator rates ZP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

More from the Internet