Current election polls by Estymator

Latest polls from Estymator

Poland
· 4 months ago
4 months ago
Open Details
36.9
30.5
9.3
9.3
3.4
1.2
Poland
· 5 months ago
5 months ago
Open Details
37.4
30.6
9.6
8.7
3.6
0.5
Poland
· 5 months ago
5 months ago
Open Details
37.3
29.8
10.6
8.5
3.7
0.2
Poland
· 5 months ago
5 months ago
Open Details
36.6
29.4
11.4
3.6
0.6
Poland
· 5 months ago
5 months ago
Open Details
37.6
29.1
11.2
8.9
3.1
0.3

Rating of parties

Institute often rates KO lower
In 42% of election polls Estymator rates KO lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica higher
In 50% of election polls, Estymator rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PiS higher
In 74% of election polls, Estymator rates PiS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 lower
In 67% of election polls Estymator rates PL2050 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSL higher
In 61% of election polls, Estymator rates PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZP higher
In 33% of election polls, Estymator rates ZP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Estymator pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.2 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Estymator's average ranking is 6.5.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
5
0x on rank 5
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0x on rank 6
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0x on rank 7
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0x on rank 8